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2024-12-14 11:24:05

Analysis of the influence of the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds falling below 2% on the stock market. After the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, although there were many discussions from all sides, it basically had no influence on the stock market trend, and the stocks with high dividends remained flat and there was no obvious capital inflow. Some analysts believe that there are two reasons here. First, the funds invested in fixed-income products and the funds invested in the stock market generally belong to two types of funds, and they rarely operate across varieties. Even if the internal and external factors have changed, resulting in the need for mobility, but the specific implementation also needs a process, can not be immediate. Second, the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, which also reflected some judgment of investors on the trend of interest rate in the market outlook, and this actually reflected the market's expectation of the growth rate of the real economy, which required greater countercyclical adjustment. (Securities Times)A few ETFs in the U.S. stock market closed up, with semiconductor ETFs rising by more than 2.5%. This week, biotechnology ETFs fell by more than 3.3%, while optional consumer ETFs rose by more than 1.1%. On Friday (December 13th), semiconductor ETFs closed up by 2.51%, global technology stock index ETFs rose by 0.87%, technology ETFs rose by 0.43%, and optional consumer ETFs rose by 0.4%.Fitch: (Talking about American residential builders) It is estimated that the residential inventory will improve slightly in 2025, but it will remain at a low level, and it will vary from region to region.


WTI crude oil futures closed up $1.27, or more than 1.81%, to $71.29/barrel, approaching the closing price of $71.96 on November 7, with a cumulative increase of more than 6.08% this week.Brazilian President Lula is still in need of special medical care when his condition improves and he can walk normally. On December 13th, local time, according to the latest announcement issued by the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazilian President Lula is now in better condition. Although he is still hospitalized and receiving special medical care, his mind is clear and he can clearly identify his direction. It is reported that on the evening of the 12th, the hospital removed the intracranial drainage tube placed after operation for Lula. Now Lula has returned to a normal diet, and the hospital will continue to monitor and observe his health. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva was sent to hospital for headache on the evening of 9th local time, and was later diagnosed as intracranial hemorrhage by doctors. He underwent surgery at the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sã o Paulo, and underwent surgery again on the morning of 12th to reduce the risk of future head hemorrhage.Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): In the week of December 10th, the net long position of ICE Brent crude oil held by speculators increased by 5,349 contracts to 162,273 contracts, a record high of more than two months. The net long position in sugar will reach a three-month low, and the net long position in Robusta Coffee will hit a four-week low, increasing the net long position in London Cocoa.


Sources said that Qatar will send a delegation to visit Syria on the 15th. The reporter was informed that on December 13th, local time, Qatari sources said that Qatar will send an official delegation to visit Syria on the 15th and hold talks with representatives of the Syrian transitional government. The source said that the two sides will focus on the reopening of Qatar's embassy in Syria and the provision of humanitarian assistance to Syria. He also said that the report that Khalfan Kabi, director of the Qatar National Security Agency, visited Syria on the 12th of this month was untrue.Trump is considering abolishing some banking regulators. It is reported that Trump's transition team began to explore the possibility of significantly reducing, integrating or abolishing the top banking regulator. According to people familiar with the matter, in a recent meeting with the heads of potential banking supervision departments, Trump consultants and officials of the newly established government efficiency department raised a question, that is, whether Trump can withdraw the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). The aides also asked the potential chairman of the FDIC and the nominee for the director of the Office of Monetary Supervision (OCC) whether deposit insurance can be deposited in the Ministry of Finance if the FDIC is cut.Iraqi government spokesman: There was no military intervention in Syria. On December 13th, local time, regarding US Secretary of State Blinken's visit to Iraq, Iraqi government spokesman Bassim Avadis said that since the outbreak of the Syrian crisis, the communication between the United States and Iraq has never been interrupted. Avadis also said that the Iraqi government has not intervened militarily in Syria, and has no unilateral plan for Syria, nor has it supported any faction or political organization. Avadis said that Arab, regional and international forces have reached an agreement not to allow any form of extremism to spread the Syrian crisis to other regions.

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